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football-stats

Building a Football Prediction Model: Week 4

This week I am adding a time series model (SARIMA) to better react to team momentum and dips in form. Again, I am predicting matches days ahead of time to increase transparency. What is SARIMA? Seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) is a time-series forecasting model designed to predict future values based on historical patterns.… Read more

February 4, 2026

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by

Niran

in

football

ai, arsenal, artificial-intelligence, betting, data-science, football, football-stats, leeds, liverpool, machine-learning, prediction-model, premier-league, soccer, sports, technology
Building a Football Prediction Model: Week 3

Accuracy: 40% (8/20 teams had predicted goals scored) Home Away xG Home xG Away Actual Score Leeds Arsenal 1.06 1.25 0-4 Wolves Bournemouth 1.61 2.35 0-2 Brighton Everton 0.68 0.72 1-1 Chelsea West Ham 1.99 0.81 3-2 Liverpool Newcastle 0.88 0.77 4-1 Aston Villa Brentford 1.88 0.75 0-1 Man United Fulham 1.69 0.95 3-2 N… Read more

February 1, 2026

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by

Niran

in

football

arsenal, betting, football, football-stats, leeds, liverpool, premier-league